Archive for the ‘Continuous Organizational Innovation’ Category

Looking Back at the Strategy of Why Some Succeed — and Many Fail

Monday, March 15th, 2010

by Mark P. Dangelo

www.Innovative-Relevance.com

It was a decade ago, at the peak of the NASDAQ Composite, that the world began to truly comprehend the potential of the “nets” (i.e., Internet, intranets, extranets, and more recently the “clouds” and mobile 4G).  As new firms rose to trailblazer prominence (e.g., Amazon, AOL, Atomic Tangerine, Egg, and others), the phrase “brick and mortar” increasingly became linked with traditional, unwieldy, hierarchical, and candidly, resistant to change enterprises “destined to go the path of the dinosaur.” 

Yet, what was once dismissed out-of-hand (i.e., layering[i]) is now set to become a top-5 strategy challenge for every management team, vendor, and outsourcer surviving in this decade.  A critical question remains if organizations have the vision and humility to leverage the past, while innovating for the future.

A Decade for the Record Books

Since 2000, the removal of the old became a classic win-lose corporate context framed by:

·         enterprise solutions (e.g., SAP, Oracle, and PeopleSoft),

·         consultants, outsourcers, and advisors (e.g., Accenture, TCS, ACS, and McKinsey), and

·         channel-specific solution providers (e.g., Cisco, Sun, and IBM). 

Within the finance and mortgage groups (FMG’s), the implementation value chain solutions became inverted with technology ideals frequently trumping business models, as volume, any volume drove people, and processes over sound management judgment. 

Inadvertently, brick and mortar principles were perceived as outdated and discarded as organizations chased the markets – and the most debt-laden homeowner in history.  With 2010 set to produce the largest volume of delinquencies and foreclosures on record perpetuated by a jobless recovery (9%-10% until late 2011), the surface indicators might support the frustration that once again, we need to start over.  Throw out the legacy models and lessons learned in favor of new approaches and technologies.

Today, pundits declare that the FDIC interventions, TARP injections, and Federal Reserve market actions are merely perpetuating the foundational decay long hidden within traditional FMG’s, operating on axioms defined back in the 1930’s. 

The belief remains that the greatest financial meltdown ever (in real USD lost) was just waiting to happen.  It could not be stopped even if we understood what “irrational exuberance” really meant.  All it needed for the traditional firms to fail were vast real estate bubbles spread across developed nations to provide the spark that lead to the vanishing of 10%-12% of global wealth (since 2007).

Learning, Layering, and Looking Forward

Indeed it is time for sustainable change, new ideas, fresh industry blood, and elimination of systems that benefited so few.  So, why reexamine 20th Century principles that have already been cast aside by 21st Century attitudes and doctrines?  In a virtually connected world that never sleeps, who needs brick and mortar dogma when continuous technological innovation is what consumers are demanding?  Why indeed. 

Nevertheless, when examining those “Jurassic” systems with their layers of front and back office control procedures, history has now shown that the brick and mortar strategic operating principles remained very viable and stable.  When glancing backwards, it is the techniques and underlying implementation methods that have been permanently transformed (see Figure 1 for a list of principles, demands, and techniques). 

As portrayed in Figure 1, it is precisely those brick and mortar operations that not only survived (albeit slightly dented), but continue to grow – JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America to name but a few.  Moreover, each FMG holds valuable lessons learned — as well as publically exposed pitfalls.  If the U.S., like the new stress test ordered for the UK banking community, enters a pause or retracing of economic growth in 2010 (i.e., double bottom), the value g leaned from the surviving FMG brick and mortar principles may be the difference between survival – and receivership.

Layering Tackles Strategy, Complexity, and Uncertainty

Layering for 2010-2013 is best defined as the utilization of principle driven models (i.e., process, business, and technology across the mortgage pillars of origination, servicing, and securitization).  This often missed strategic approach allows organizations to employ the “best-in-class” solutions, products, and services even if they might be viewed as competitive (see Figure 2). 

It is the assembly of these “building blocks” that provides the distinction and profitability so badly demanded within struggling FMG’s.  Stated more pointedly, how many of those “pure-play” offerings survive after just five years?  With VC investments now just 30%-35% of 2006 levels, you only have to look at their investment web pages to notice the portfolio rot driven by a failure to anticipate consumer change and uncertainty. 

If truth be told, the deployment of layering is inherent within all viable business models – domestic or global – as their usage surrounds the assembly of strategies, processes, technology, and people.  Analogous to the building of a foundation with stone, cement, and metal, the use of layering for sustainable business resonates with profitable innovators.  It is now fundamental criteria in investor minds as well.

As shown in Figure 2, if the “foundation” of layers cannot be assembled properly (e.g., the laying of brick for a wall meeting industry “building codes”), the ensuing channels, offerings, and markets will collapse onto the basement floor – much like investors in RMBS and CMBS experienced during the last four years.  Yet, are organizations fully equipped with the skills and abilities to critically examine the successes and failures?  What about the performance of partners and channel providers?  Or will it become a situation where teams are sent out to perform “bring me a rock” analysis?

Stated bluntly for those who still fail to see the building block challenge and financial opportunities, if everyone utilizes the same standards and electronic delivery strategies, how come everyone isn’t equally successful?  The aforementioned are merely the vehicles of delivery – not the layering of complex business requirements that if assembled wrong, lead to failure.  In some cases, career ending failure.

In Closing

If you have any doubts on the strategy of business and technology layering, then take a look at the survivors from the companies previously mentioned.  What were the key principles that lead them as pathfinders succeed and adapt, while others failed or were acquired?  Did they lack technology, people or the “right” idea?  Did they shun brick and mortar principles entirely or selectively apply the fundamentals that worked for their business operations and technological implementations?  Did they let their egos drive their actions?

So now, 10 years after the great market corrections of 2000, it is the innovative business leaders who are gleaning safe and sound practices from the old brick and mortar.  For vendors and outsourcers, those operational leaders that can deliver scalable, interoperability layers of processes and technologies will be the household names across the industry.  How many will act?  How many will continue to be froze in place holding on to the ideals misplaced and misrepresented?  We can all think of a few.

Enterprises (i.e., the core business, their vendors, and outsourcing providers) able to rapidly adapt to changing consumer needs, and more recently, radical mutations of homeowner behaviors will be able to weather any downturn or changing market conditions.  It seems the lessons and principles of the past have become the guides of the future.

Funny, sometimes to go positively forward, you must start out in reverse. 



[i] Analogous to a “method of propagating plants by covering a branch or shoot with soil so that it takes root while still attached to the parent plant.”

Proven Technology, New Paradigm

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

By Mark P. Dangelo

www.Innovative-Relevance.com

One of the few bright spots in lasting recessions is the birth of relevant innovation. These are the new products and services that markets and consumers want, which are pragmatic and sustainable regardless of the economic plight surrounding them. More new businesses start in times of chaos than in times of prosperity. The seeds of the next wave of business processes and supporting solution sets are growing.

Yet, not all relevant innovation is from quantum breakthroughs in technology. Often times the most momentous advancements are those that involve the layering of proven technologies in new and unique alignments. Additional gains are made from using modified processes, procedures, and formulations. Finally, the remainder is driven by new educational standards, skills learned, or via collaborative intelligence.

Let’s explore two potential paradigms that are quietly emerging to those seeking new uses for proven technologies.

A Vision to Look Beyond Today

The markets have seen an explosion of solutions targeting fraud in all its forms – misappropriation, misstatement, bribery, corruption, identity, occupancy, income, appraisal, shot-gunning, and the list goes on. The advances in data aggregation, statistical modeling, and integrity have given originators and law enforcement agencies new tools to combat illegal acts. But, whereas these increasingly robust solution sets are eliminating fraud in new, refinanced, or modification loan originations, there are additional benefits yet to be booked with the potential extension of solutions.

For example, what struck me as having huge potential during the recent MBA Annual event was an announcement by MERS and Interthinx on their National Fraud Prevention Solution. Why did this standout? What was missed by the invited press was the underlying and potential supply chain altering principles beyond identifying fraud just during the origination processes.

When examined along the entire value or supply chain of mortgage processes – origination, servicing, securitization – the existence of a common source of aggregated information potentially offers touchpoints for bonds and equities, repurposing existing asset classes, insurance, government regulators, and of course, all aspects of complex servicing. In manufacturing terms, think of it as forward and reverse supply chains where parts are sourced in many places, but assembled in one place to create a working product.

Examined differently, if fraud information is good for the origination of a loan, why shouldn’t it be used for the same loan, borrower, and institution throughout its life-cycle? Case in point, if the loan is non-portfolioed and securitized with other “quality” loans, then over its life should the borrower or trustee overseeing the tranches (e.g., covered or hybrid bonds), all sourced aspects of the loan must be permanently accessible. The same will hold true for portfolioed loans and the new Basel rules requiring greater capital reserves in 2010 against held assets.

After all, the “originate and forget” model is dead – which is why private securitization went from nearly 65% of the market to under 5% in just three years. There are parallels and lessons learned in other industries – insurance, equities, and healthcare.

If fraud is rooted in risk mitigation, then the data for risk analysis will require a comprehensive integration of the entire data or mortgage supply chain for life. Risk analysis and the underlying agencies and regulators, which will be taking more active governance roles, require a non-siloed vision. A game-changing option is made available once we look beyond the “false” industry containers of information, and into the greater comprehension demanding new operating paradigms.

While the MERS and Interthinx announcement was positive, there is a potential for a permanent shift that reverberates across the industries – like a pebble being dropped into the center of a pond.

Think Differently, Act Aggressively

With nearly 1.7 million borrowers three or more payments behind last month, the challenges of loan modifications are still mounting. Whereas, the government has claimed success for on-going workout initiatives – albeit it permanent or temporary loan restructurings – according to RealyTrac nearly 940,000 were in foreclosure filings during Q2 2009.

In general, the optimistic industry personnel are trying to stress the positives – low interest rates, government incentives, and a hope that the bottom has been put into the market free fall. Others aren’t so hopeful. But whether you believe in a recovery or more pain, one thing is very clear – how do you reach out to a customer in trouble or those seeking advice?

The complexity and breath of answers stagger the imagination. However, what is evident is that no one method will work for all classes of loans or customers. A multi-dimensional approach using all available market and technology channels needs to be cohesively integrated to ensure the best for all parties involved – borrower, lender, servicer, and investor.

One proven technology that has been used to drive consumers to secure new loans was search engine optimization or SEO. SEO is well known to marketing professionals and ad agencies. Many users commonly associate SEO with Google, Yahoo, or other search engine rankings and ad placement. It worked great to drive potential lenders to sites during the “go-go” credit of this last decade, but does it have a use now?

The short answer is yes. SEO is undergoing a rebirth among a new class of innovative firms (e.g., Enquisite), which move beyond the mere generation of prospects and into ROI, analytics, and performance. The new solution sets employ “organic” and paid placements to arrive at a composite of contacts who may want assistance and who may have been doing research on your corporate “landing pages.”

The methods of achieving this result are beyond this article, but suffice it to say that there are fundamental shifts in the way SEO is being used – for today and tomorrow. Some additional uses for performance driven SEO are in support of compliance, loan modifications, servicing, and to address political concerns that the financial institutions are not doing enough to reach out and assist struggling homeowners and consumers at risk.

For those in the retail channels trying to assess their customer approaches, novel macro uses of SEO are beginning to capture the imagination, while influencing operating initiatives. Although, many thought they knew what SEO was, the rules are being rewritten by relevant innovators eager to assist and able to deliver.

In summary, SEO is increasingly becoming part of closed-loop systems for channel deployments and operating feedback supported by adaptive process improvement techniques. It has moved well beyond simple lists, clicks and conversions.

Adapting a phrase from history, it can be said, “I never knew SEO, but it knew me.”

The Six “C’s” of Generating Success

Tuesday, September 22nd, 2009

Success = Components + Collection + Consolidation + Cohesion + Capability + Conclusion

By Mark P. Dangelo

www.Innovative-Relevance.com

Also published at the National Mortgage Bankers Association

With all the media sound bites and dire messages, sometimes you just want to hide in your cubicle and do nothing new. It is understandable. However, pragmatically we must move forward ensuring that people, processes, and technologies are once again relevant for the decade facing us, and our vastly different operating ecosystems (see, “Peering Forward into the Next Decade”).

So, where should we invest? What technologies or infrastructures should we use? How could we outsource more business and knowledge processes? Should we hire FTE’s or layoff? How do we measure success, and more to the point, is it merely about profits, government conformance, risk mitigation, or social responsibility?

After two brutal years where finance and mortgage groups (FMG’s) have shed hundreds of thousands of quality jobs, will the recovery be a “V,” a “U,” a “L,” or a “W?” Additionally, what will your competitors do? Who are the “desired” consumers? What are your organizational social and community responsibilities?

Indeed, there are many questions all encased by considerable economic uncertainty. Yet, the time for action is now. The time for pervasive technological and process transformations is past due.

So, what is the formula for success as we close out 2009 and peer into 2010? Whereas, no one formula or idea can capture all aspects of viability and the technology needed to deliver quality profits, the following simple framework is able to create desired organizational action.

Success = Components + Collection + Consolidation + Cohesion + Capability + Conclusion

I know, it sounds like a lot. However, let’s briefly explore the six “C’s” of success, and what you might be able to do to capitalize on the operating environment and constraints, which are poised to completely redefine FMG players, processes, and BAU (i.e., competition and intent).

Components, the Sum of the Parts is Greater

Historically, process and technology solutions were frequently viewed as one-offs left to astute and charismatic divisional heads. Technology investments, and the business lines / products they supported, were made against segmented silos of functionality and compartmentalized budgets. As the current decade draws to an undesirable conclusion, the idiosyncratic nature of these sunken ROI projections becomes all too apparent measured against new markets and upstart competitors.

In general, future technologies and co-dependent processes appear to be taking on increased importance outside of the once hallowed walls of IT – that is, “not invented here” personnel have been translated into “no longer work here.” Technology and the capital investments needed for their realization are being created in foreign cities with little geographical familiarity for domestic personnel.

Although, as the component technology pieces are being created elsewhere, the heralded death of internal IT (i.e., the “IT Killer”) by the Cloud, by SaaS, by virtualization, or even by outsourcers, are mere pipedreams.

To be sure, the IT roles of the next decade and dogmatic desires to “control from within” a corporate center are no longer a critical success factor. The roles of CIO’s and CTO’s will increasingly disappear – to be redefined in a new technology world ripe with continuous transformations and multi-faceted governance. With a historical FMG tenure of 5 years and an average salary exceeding $300K, IT leaders will have a lot to justify this next decade.

For internal IT, the ability to rapidly integrate and adapt externally developed and defined components will be greater than traditional technology provisioning. The sum of the parts is rapidly the greatest enabler for the next decade spurred by changing consumer behavior, fast cycle product demands, and competitive reactions requiring collection and cohesion of widely dispersed data sources.

Collection, It is No Longer Just About Money

Collection activities for bankers today have taken on a huge importance. Yet, collection today and tomorrow is frequently more about data than it is mere money. Not just data within a given set of delinquency or workout processes, but data that spans the over 60 distinct functional processes throughout the comprehensive mortgage cycles.

Data collection is just the first aspect of a new decade of new requirements for corporate governance and compliance. The ability to transcend the interlinked processes, both forward and backward, can no longer rely on any manual item, faxed document, or singular “swim lanes.” To achieve proper consolidation and cohesion of increasingly specialized data sources, collection must first accept the challenges of interconnectivity, while preparing for aggregation of compartmentalized data spread throughout siloed applications.

Or more simply, if garbage (inaccessible and non-searchable data sources) is allowed into the value chain of data, it pollutes the entire downstream series of demands needed for risk, decision making, and compliance.

I have to wonder, if we had electronically stored, catalogued, and managed the entire master sources of data for the millions of loans in distress during the last five, would the modifications, legal fees, and political backlash be this pronounced?

Consolidation, the Devil is in the Data

Data. Data. Data. Consequently, if data is everywhere and widely available, why is it that decisions are made that prove inadequate or let’s face it, are out-and-out wrong?

Some would argue that collection challenges are the root of evil when it comes to success driven by sound data (e.g., KPI’s) and decisioning analytics. However, FMG CEO’s ask an important question of why nearly $2 billion annually is spent on power for data center computer equipment? With a compounded yearly increase of data storage now, by some estimates, exceeding 50% annually, what should be contained or consolidated on this equipment that isn’t already there? Where’s the value?

Consolidation of data sources for future success resides with disciplines and technologies that are still not widely in use within the mortgage industry (e.g., master data management, data deduplication, aggregation, augmentation, scrubbing, federations, structured, non-structured, et al). Some of this is cost related and others are more about skill sets and perceived need by executives for investment or action.

Consolidation, within the success formula, is also about the growing third-party portals and data providers along the segmented mortgage processes – fraud, reporting, servicing, investments, hedge funds, FOREX, systems of record, and the list grows with each passing week, and sorry to say, new government program introduced (or withdrawn). Without the first three “C’s” internalized and properly framed, the last three variables in the success formula can lead to money traps and false security.

Cohesion, Leveraging more than IT

Cohesion in this context is defined as “the ability to positively relate various sources of information to each other.” To borrow a term from the pharmaceutical industry, it is about data efficacy. Moreover, driven by new markets and required insights, integrations of the past are not the integrations of the future. In fact, the ability to efficiently and accurately integrate growing and sometimes conflicting data has recently cost many good IT professionals their career and livelihood.

The new decade dawning is already being dominated by new, virtually provisioned infrastructures (e.g., IaaS) supporting fast-cycle business functionality– e.g., Amazon, Sales Force, Microsoft, and Google. As these initial “cloud” identified offerings evolve, their robustness and business criticality takes on new importance across the enterprise. And what do these new layers of infrastructure create spanning processes and business lines? Data. Data. Data.

Therefore, the cohesion of these growing sources increases in importance. The challenge of their integration is not merely an ETL (i.e., extraction, transformation, and load), but a core shift in competencies that was once viewed only from an internal IT need. As systems are provisioned within layers of cloud infrastructures (e.g., data, voice, processes), the skill sets of cohesion and the efficacy it demands are in short supply and represents a job growth area for every IT leader and astute business person.

Capability, Fenced by Risk and Regulation

If we thought the rules of operation were cumbersome and draconian in the past, we may be severely disappointed with the future. In various speeches and interviews, the Executive and Congressional offices are all positioning for changes. Politics and lobbying being what it is, the final regulations may be some time coming – but something will change, especially if this drags into the 2010 election year.

Therefore, as more and more capabilities are delivered via cloud technologies and outsourcing relationships (just look at the numbers, acquisitions, and press releases), organization capabilities will be fenced by how quick we can react to shortened regulation cycles and risk aversion advocates (e.g., Fed, regulators, public sentiments).

Capability moving forward will be still be about systems and technology – but the time needed and patience for “failures” will be drastically shortened. Tolerance to achieve meaningful capability success will be shortened not by mere history, but by decreased CAPEX budgets, time-to-market, consumer products and their profitability, and of course, regulatory compliance.

If we are indeed confronted with a jobless recovery (the “L” or “U” scenario), how much will budgets be increased for new functional capability? What happens if a “W,” or double bottoming, is experienced in 2010? Future success requires new capabilities, but the methods and techniques of defining, provisioning, and bringing on-line will test our operations and vendor partners alike.

Conclusion, Achieving Incremental Reality from Ambiguity

With five of the six “C’s” integrated into the algorithm for success, you might be tempted to think that 83% of the equation is a passing grade. Uh, no. This last variable has proven to be the most difficult to achieve with accuracy and consistency — as it is subject to internal influences and organizational biases of beliefs. The historic methods for conclusions were often more about art than science – hubris over content

Today and more importantly tomorrow, the art of the conclusion or decision is being hurriedly replaced with analytics. Objectivity based upon vetted facts, statistics, and the other five “C’s” is ruling the discussions in the boardrooms and with investors.

In fact, spending on business intelligence tools which support robust decision making continue to increase at double-digit growth rates – an aggregated market that exceeds $60 billion. All-in-one solution sets are being deployed along the entire success equation by industry leaders IBM, Oracle, InfoSys, and SAP.

Achieving “conclusivity” is also supported by a wide range of dashboard offerings (e.g., Visual Mining), analytical and industry specific KPI firms (e.g., Intelli-Mine, Inc.), and vertical benchmarking solutions (e.g., LPS).

Linked together, the six “C’s” are a powerful formula for the changing reality of a new and ambiguous decade. Also it should be noted that the conclusions desired within FMG will no longer be reached in domestic isolation. World governing bodies, global creditors, and wealth rebalancing all will bring a stark new set of consequences for success.

Did I forget to mention the seventh “C?”

* * * * * * * *

In conclusion, successes of tomorrow cannot be redressed on the methods of the past or the behaviors of a few. Continuous vigilance will be demanded to ensure any investment in infrastructure, the cloud, or business processes are exceeding expectations and measures. “Provision and forget” cannot be a path forward for lasting success.

As we move forward, one thing is very understandable – the methods used to measure results in a virtual, highly specialized FMG ecosystem will be distinctive and non-insular. The IT approach to provisioning, integration, and maintenance will also be different. Even the standards of interoperability and exchange will be uncommon – but likely converging.

S-U-C-C-E-S-S. No matter how it is defined, spelled, or framed, success must be generated from within. Are we really prepared across people, processes, technologies, and markets to orchestrate success in an uncertain decade?

In closing, as I get ready to attend my fifth MBA Annual show in San Diego next month, I sincerely wish everyone the best of success during this industry leading event. Make sure you say “howdy!” if you see me.