Archive for the ‘Consumer’ Category

Financial Times Blog Response — America must do more to help its homeowners

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

The facts and growing concern raised in this article did not happen overnight.  There were many who identified the building risks — but when money is easy and profits high, no one cared to listen especially within the mortgage industry. 

 

The fundamental point missed here is resides not around hand-outs, but putting Americans back to work.  Yes, there will still be historic foreclosure and default rates.  The homeowner hangover must be worked through.  Yet throwing more printed government money at a solution that took a decade to make is also irresponsible.

 

Of the 55 million mortgages in the USA, the approximately 11 million in stress or foreclosure is cause for great concern.  However, what about those households who have been responsible and paid their bills even though their homes are underwater?  The disadvantaged need to be helped without any doubt, but more handouts to stimulate a market that is need of drastic rework is not a good answer either. 

 

Too many are still profiting from the suffering of others without any material changes being made to the supply chain of mortgage operations (i.e., origination, servicing, and securitization).

 

Jobs, reworking of the GSE’s (permanent rework and breakup) is good set of goals that cannot be glossed over by politicians or industry lobbyist.  Regulation can only prevent – not solve – an existing crisis.  If jobs and industries cannot be stimulated, then does that mean the debt = GDP levels of today should now be increased 20% or 35%? 

 

I understand the concern and empathize – but more programs and easy money is not the issue.  After all if we take away the pillars of capitalism and risks, then what is left to allow market forces (now global) to behave as they should?

Fighting Yesterdays “Wars”

Tuesday, November 11th, 2008

By Mark P. Dangelo

www.Innovative-Relevance.com

“All the kings’ horses and all the kings’ men,” could not put a fatally flawed set of industries back together again.  John Thain, CEO of Merrill Lynch, framed the non-whimsical discussion on 11/11/08 in the Financial Times, “This is not like 1987 or 1998 or 2001.  The contraction going on is bigger than that.  We will in fact look back to the 1929 period to see the kind of slowdown we’re seeing now.  And he’s not the only one.  In general, as the old school pundits tout their diminishing merits and credentials as the flotilla around them continues to sink, do we really think this is just a “normal” cycle that can be righted with time and adjusted business models?

I can already see the hate mail filling my mailbox this week.  However, before I dig my grave even deeper, let’s give credit to the streamlined mortgage programs that are forthcoming from the GSE’s, JP Morgan, Bank of America, and CitiGroup.  These institutions, and others, are not just acting as good “corporate citizens,” they recognize the severity of the real challenges facing American consumers and investors.  Thank you for your leadership.

There are many shades of grey that have yet to be realized, let alone booked against a balance sheet (e.g., writing down principle amounts).  We must continue to fight for and achieve a proper balance between American homeowners and the domestic and global good required as part of evolving globalization realignment.  Moreover, very few are tackling the innovation that needs to be embraced with the modification of private MBS’s regarding their reverse supply chain demands (and yes, we never thought we’d have to worry about reverse supply chains). 

Now back to digging my resting place. 

  • So tell me, how you and your organization will innovate your way past collective unemployment rates that may exceed 8.5% early next year (translation, another 3.2 million lost jobs in a few short months approaching over 13 million unemployed)?  FYI, unemployment is at 6.5% today.
  • Will it simply be with the visionary creation of a new business model coupled with new “e” technologies that will make you profitable? 
  • And if we innovate and finally adopt e-solutions (which we must), what will happen to the dogmatic processes and the people associated with them as part of these newfound productivity improvements – will they be cut loose as they are “made redundant” thereby worsening job prospects?  Who will audit them and at what cost?
  • Who will assemble the roadmap to the future consumer and profitability – the same old school folks and advisors that lead us to this catastrophic, global financial hyper-hurricane? 
  • Will those who are advocating new workouts, mitigation servicing solutions, and compliance and risk management be successful?  Are the free-markets no longer free?  Who will pay for a trillion per year budget deficit, when and at what cost within an interconnected world?
  • Are we prepared for the permanent devaluation of industries, their associations, publications, and political clout?  Are we just trying to save our “own skin?”

I could go on, but I think the hole is deep enough this week.  No, I’m not trying to make light of the seriousness of our customers or the institutions that support them.  Trust me; I haven’t smiled about these events for over two years.  My tongue-in-check fun is truly at my own expense.  So what is the point?

I asked a question on a social networking site this week about innovation in mortgage.  None of the answers were very pretty regarding what the industry is doing, and where the future opportunities reside.  Some were downright hostile.  I personally asked several outsourcing providers about their future prospects and business.  Their answers were universally angry (and an industry that I think will be severely and permanently devalued) – “our customers just don’t [expletive] get it!”  I asked VC and private equity investors if they were backing or funding new solution sets for the mortgage industry.  They thought I was delusional. 

So as we think about innovation and we talk among ourselves at recycled conferences with the same media personnel courted by PR teams, are we indeed getting the whole story, a new chapter?  Are we merely being once again short-term focused just using a “new” set of superficial questions?  Are we, as leaders and an industry, fundamentally willing to hear out “divisive” ideals – how will they be recorded and acted upon?  Who will stand up and say, “I want to hear about something new and really different!”

I’ll make sure I turn on my email filters this week and install that remote car starter.

Are you ready for a KO?

Tuesday, September 9th, 2008

By Mark P. Damgelo

www.Innovative-Relevance.com

Taking a break from the GSE “conservatorship” discussion, let’s have our heads up and eyes forward.  The signs are all around us that more than the weekend’s action will have an impact on our operations – if we just look for them.  Last week it was revealed that Dell Computer’s once superior and efficient competitive distinction – their consumer- motivated JIT assembly lines and factories — were being sold off driven by new market realities.  This once seemingly unrivaled, “advanced,” collaborative supply chain and product integration approach has succumbed to a greater and evolving global market force – orchestration.  “So what?” you may ask, “Why should I care?”  How can I leverage that today for profit?

The implication urgency lies in a market lesson learned that has problematical cross-industry implications for our daily operations.  You see, the FS (financial services) and mortgage industries are more implicitly orchestrated than we realize.  Whereas manufacturers deal with raw materials, distribution, and delivery, FS and mortgage organizations orchestrate ”instruments,” packaging, and segmentation of often intangible products and services surrounding a physical object (e.g., real estate).  For our industries, we create, embellish, link, manage, and orchestrate knowledge in many forms and at aggregated and discrete levels – origination, servicing, compliance, securitization, valuations, and even repository management to name but a few.

More precisely, we often unknowingly act and internalize Knowledge Orchestration (KO) in its many forms depending upon our client base, our corporate mission, and the market’s acceptance of our current offerings.  An illustrative, decomposition example of what typically encompasses KO is presented below.

Knowledge Orchestration

Whereas the preceding graphic is complex and beyond the discussion parameters in this setting, the take away is that our operations are implicitly involved in KO in its numerous structures – similar to what Dell and other manufacturers are practicing.  Knowledge Orchestration moves beyond the convenient and siloed discussions within the drawing and shifts the reality into a comprehensive or holistic approach.  Whereas, the practice of Knowledge Orchestration is often practiced in piecemeal segments, its foundational reality can no longer be ignored as a passing management ideal or fancy — at this point, a few decades of proof should are ample enough. 

So if the world is moving into proactive Knowledge Orchestration, is this why we are seeing extensive investments and M&A’s by service-driven operations snapping up product vendors?  Is it merely cheap valuations, failed pure-play models, or is there something else?  Is this why offshore outsourcing investments are being put up for sale?  If you are evaluating high-value domestic sourcing in the American Midwest, is this not more about KO than traditional outsourcing?

As our organizations select vendors, conduct outsourcing endeavors, and rebalance the supply chain to meet a rapid unfolding marketplace, visionary leaders recognize the underlying and permanent shifts that are transpiring – they are starting to act with their models, new personnel, and expanded relationships.  The critical components needed for sustainable success must be met with new techniques and methods that are designed for the “flat world” or more importantly the fourth iteration of globalization and the innovation it demands.

So with the markets still projected to realize another $500 billion in write-offs – approaching $1.3 trillion in total — KO looks forward to what the customers, secondary markets, executives, and investors are demanding both ST and LT.  Outsourcers, servicers, specialty operations (compliance, fraud, et al), and product firms often fail to realize the missing pieces within KO and they don’t often believe that others are inherently needed for their lasting success.  If you doubt this subtle conclusion, look at the manufacturers and the proven models that FS and mortgage leaders are beginning to appreciate.  Remember, collaborators often think of partners or alliances to meet a client demand – one or two players – and not the orchestrated solution sets involving 3, 4, or more with some even being their competitors.

The genius of yesterday must relinquish its models to the reality of tomorrow.  FS and mortgage leaders are faced with new challenges as they are pushed into roles and operations that have little resemblance to 24 month ago certainties.  Stated another way, with changing responsibility and accountability, the practices of management, governance, and operational efficiency must also adapt or die.  For many organizational leaders, they unwittingly have become conductors orchestrating their future – but the score within this credit meltdown is unwritten and they are not accustomed to the new world demands. 

Are we facing a tragic opera or a peaceful symphony?  Time will quickly tell if a “knock-out” blow will be brought forth using Knowledge Orchestration (KO).